Days Until Opening Day 2009

Tuesday, November 13, 2007

On Posada, Tejada, and Crede


Jorge Posada and the Yankees have agreed to a 4 year, 52.4 million dollar deal. That's a relief, it seemed as though for a while there Posada might actually be switching to the number 7 train to Queens next year. It's a good contract for Posada and he was smart to stick to his guns for the extra year and money. The Mets would have been a good fit for a year or two, but his career stats would have suffered in the National league assuming that the last year of his contract will most likely be a DH role.

Posada is one hole that needed plugging, now we need to finish up with resigning Rivera so we can work on figuring out who is going to play third. On the issue of third base, the other day I commented that I would take Tejada over Crede hands down. I think I spoke too soon. Let's compare the numbers over the past four seasons:

Miguel Tejada
2004 – OPS 131, RBI 150, HR 34
2005 – OPS 128, RBI 98, HR 26
2006 – OPS 126, RBI 100, HR 24
2007 – OPS 109, RBI 81, HR 18

Joe Crede
2004 – OPS 83, RBI 69, HR 21
2005 – OPS 96, RBI 62, HR 22
2006 – OPS, 107 RBI 94, HR 30
2007 – OPS, 49 RBI 22, HR 4


I put in the 2007 stats to round out the numbers, but considering Crede only played in 47 games versus 133 for Tejada you can't really count use 2007 as a good reference. Clearly Tejada is the better player, but its also pretty obvious that his numbers are significantly declining every year while Crede's are getting better. Over the course of each of their careers there is no question that Tejada will be the overall better player, but in terms of making a smart decision financially you have to take this flip flop into account. The Yankees could most likely steal Crede away at this point, not to mention the fact that he wont need time to readjust to the position. While Tejada is historically better, we would be paying a lot of money for someone who is quickly becoming nothing more than just an average player. So at this juncture I think Crede makes more sense than any of the other options available.

In case you haven't heard, Derek Jeter made some pretty telling comments to the press the other day with regards to Posada, Rivera, and Pettitte. He predicted that Posada would resign (which of course he now has), Mo would be back (I'm willing to bet that he will too), but that he wasn't sure about Pettitte. You have to think that Jeter is giving us an inside tip here. Based on that the best bet is to count out Pettitte for next year.

On a completely unrelated note, for my regular readers you are about to notice a drought in my posts. That is because I am going on vacation to the Virgin Islands for some much needed R&R starting tomorrow. I'll be back next Monday to catch up on everything that I've missed, but in the meantime have a good week everyone!

4 comments:

jess said...

have a great vacation!

i wonder if miguel would play better if he weren't on the orioles?

and hip! hip! jorge :)

Bruce said...

I think that he would, he has expressed a lot of discontent about losing all the time. Still, you have to go by the numbers.

Thanks! Hopefully we can all get another DC blogger happy hour together soon.

Anonymous said...

So is A-Rod suddenly not the devil anymore?

Anonymous said...

Barry Bonds may be just the tip of the iceberg. Giambi, Mark Maguire, who knows who will be next? But it isn't just steroids either. The New England Patriots aren't allowed to even talk to the cheerleaders le alone date them. And yet they have a coach who broke up a marriage of the receptionist at the Eagles hq, cheats on games... and his golden boy QB is a cad who left his hottie girlfriend barefoot and pregnant and alone to fend for herself. Wait till the son grows up and the cats in the cradle and he's too busy for his retired papa. And then there are the Yankees. Jeter a tax cheat? How stupid can you be to cheat on your taxes and say you live in Florida when you are one of the most famous baseball players in the country? Last month a media source slipped and said that a member of the Yankees had spread vd to a number of celeb chicks in town but stopped short of saying who it was. Anyone know who it is? I would be curious. Jeter would be my first guess since he practically lives at Scores and has the cash to pay for "extras" there. But they didn't come out and say who so I'm curious.